Research Areas
Bush-Era Tax Cuts: Near-Expiration and Extension
For a list of frequently asked questions about the expiration of the Bush-Era tax cuts, click here.
President Bush's 2001 tax cut focused on immediate cuts in wage taxes for low- and middle-income people, especially: creating a 10% tax bracket and mailing each taxpayer a check for the current year's savings, raising the ceiling of the 15% bracket to protect middle-income couples from the marriage penalty, and raising the child tax credit from $500 to $1,000 and making it refundable.
The legislation did include tax cuts at the high end of the income spectrum, but those were scheduled to phase in over many years. The top income tax rate of 39.6% was only cut to 39.1% in the first year. No positive economic impact was noticeable during 2002, and pressure built for a supply-side tax cut. That was delivered in May of 2003 in the form of an acceleration of the 2001 phase-ins, plus a new 15% tax rate on capital gains (down from 20%) and a 15% rate on dividends (down from a high of 39.6%).
To comply with Senate budgetary rules, the tax cuts were enacted as 10-year temporary laws. President Obama campaigned against the Bush tax cuts vehemently during 2008, but did not attempt to hasten their expiration once he took office, citing the recession.
Uncertainty about what would happen to various tax rates after the tax cuts' expiration made tax planning, investing, estate planning, and other activities difficult for many taxpayers. Finally, in the last weeks of 2010, Congress passed legislation extending the tax cuts for two years and reducing the payroll tax.
Additional questions about the Bush-era tax cuts? Contact us at (202) 464-6200.
Articles from the Tax Foundation
- Tax Foundation Projects 2012 Tax Parameters Following Release of August CPI Data, by Nick Kasprak and Mark Robyn, September 15, 2011
- The Emerging Debt Ceiling Deal, by Nick Kasprak, August 1, 2011
- The Budget Debate in Pictures: A Look at CBO Projections and the Role that Bush-Era Tax and Spending Policies Play in the Deficit , by William McBride, June 14, 2011
- Tax Freedom Day® Arrives on April 12, by Kail Padgitt, March 30, 2011
- New Online Tools for Taxpayers , February 7, 2011
- Tax Foundation Experts Comment on Passage of Obama Tax Package, December 17, 2010
- Obama’s Tax Compromise and its Effects on Low-Income Taxpayers, by Nick Kasprak, December 13, 2010
- President’s Deficit Commission Says Federal Government Should Be 21 Percent of GDP, by Joseph Henchman, December 3, 2010
- How Would Expiration of Bush-Era Tax Cuts Affect State and Local Budgets?, by Mark Robyn, November 22, 2010
- Big question left for 2010: What about the tax cuts?, by Gerald Prante, November 7, 2010
- Family Tax Returns in Doubt As Expiration Approaches for Bush and Obama Tax Cuts: Three Likely Policy Scenarios, by Mark Robyn, October 14, 2010
- Report Compares Typical Family Tax Bills for 2011 Under Three Scenarios, October 13, 2010
- The Potential Impact of Expiring Tax Cuts on Low-Income Taxpayers, by Nick Kasprak, October 7, 2010
- A Profile of the High-Income Taxpayers in the Middle of the Tax Cut Debate, by Tax Foundation's Data Analysis Division, September 22, 2010
- Top Marginal Effective Tax Rates by State under Rival Tax Plans from Congressional Democrats and Republicans, by Gerald Prante, September 22, 2010
- Don't raise taxes on job creators, by Scott A. Hodge, September 17, 2010
- Five Myths about the Bush Tax Cuts, by Gerald Prante and William Ahern, September 16, 2010
- Tax Foundation Projects 2011 Tax Parameters Following Release of August CPI Data, by Mark Robyn and Gerald Prante, September 15, 2010
- Over One-Third of New Tax Revenue Would Come from Business Income If High-Income Personal Tax Cuts Expire, September 13, 2010
- How Much Do You Know About the Expiring Tax Cuts? Take this Short Quiz and Find Out, September 8, 2010
- Kristina Rasmussen of the Illinois Policy Institute: Impact of State & Federal Tax Hikes, September 1, 2010
- The Unkindest Cuts, by Gerald Prante, August 22, 2010
- Effect of Expiration of Bush-Era Tax Cuts on Average Middle-Income Family, by State and Congressional District, by Tax Foundation's Data Analysis Division, August 1, 2010
- Calculator Shows How Expiration of Bush-Era Tax Cuts Would Affect Individual Taxpayers, July 27, 2010
- Douglas Holtz-Eakin of the American Action Forum: How to Address the Expiring Bush Tax Cuts, July 21, 2010
- Dick Patten of the American Family Business Institute: Estate Tax, June 16, 2010
- The Federal Estate Tax: Will It Rise From the Grave in 2011 or Sooner?, edited by William Ahern, May 27, 2010
- Frequently Asked Questions on the Expiring Bush-Era Tax Cuts, May 27, 2010
- Report Compares Hypothetical Tax Bills Under Bush, Obama Tax Policies, May 26, 2010
- Taxpayers Face Uncertainty in 2011 As Bush and Obama Tax Cuts Expire, by Mark Robyn, May 26, 2010
- Who Benefited Most from the Bush Tax Cuts?, May 26, 2010
- How Much Did the Bush Tax Cuts Cost in Forgone Revenue?, May 26, 2010
- Why Are the Bush Tax Cuts Expiring?, May 26, 2010
- What is the Current Status of the Federal Estate Tax?, May 26, 2010
- How Do the Bush Tax Cuts Interact with the Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT)?, May 26, 2010
- Outline of Major Tax Law Provisions in 2011 under Multiple Scenarios, May 26, 2010
- Fate of Bush Tax Cuts Uncertain As Expiration Approaches, by William Ahern, May 26, 2010
- List of Tax Provisions that "Expired" on December 31, 2009, May 26, 2010
- List of Tax Provisions Scheduled to Expire on December 31, 2010, by Gerald Prante, May 26, 2010
- PEP and Pease: Repealed for 2010 But Preparing a Comeback, by Patrick Fleenor, April 29, 2010
- Obama Budget Would Increase Income Redistribution from Top 1 Percent of Taxpayers by $112 Billion, February 10, 2010
- Distributional Analysis of President Obama’s Fiscal Year 2011 Budget Policies, by Gerald Prante and Patrick Fleenor, February 10, 2010
- The Tax Suspense Is Killing Us, by William Ahern, January 28, 2010
- Kelly Phillips Erb of the TaxGirl Blog: Expiring Tax Cuts and Obama's Budget, January 27, 2010
- Top 10 Tax Stories of the Decade, by TF Staff, December 30, 2009
- Baucus beats Pelosi on health tax policy, by William Ahern, November 6, 2009
- Those Hit by Health Care Surtax Would Pay 36% of Federal Income Taxes, November 5, 2009
- The Economic Cost of High Tax Rates, by Robert Carroll, July 29, 2009
- New Surtax and Expiring Tax Cuts Could Hit Business Income Simultaneously, by Scott A. Hodge, July 17, 2009
- Moving Forward with Bipartisan Tax Policy, by Robert Carroll, John E. Chapoton, Maya MacGuineas and Diane Lim Rogers, February 12, 2009
- The 2001 and 2003 Tax Relief: The Benefit of Lower Tax Rates, by Robert Carroll, August 23, 2008
- Unique Opportunity Is at Hand for Far-Reaching Federal Tax Reform, by Scott A. Hodge, June 6, 2008
- A State-by-State Estimate of Individual Income Tax Changes from Rangel's "Mother of All Reforms" Bill, by Gerald Prante, October 29, 2007
- Questions and Answers on the Alternative Minimum Tax, by Gerald Prante, July 21, 2007
- A Progressive AMT Fix Without Higher Tax Rates, by Gerald Prante, June 27, 2007
- Testimony of Scott A. Hodge Before the Senate Committee on Finance, May 10, 2007
- Tax Policy and the 2004 Elections, by Scott A. Hodge, November 3, 2004
- Have the Stars Aligned for Tax Reform?, by Scott A. Hodge, March 1, 2003
- The Effect on a Typical Family of Four of Accelerating Scheduled Tax Cuts and Making Temporary Tax Relief Permanent, by John S. Barry, February 1, 2003